Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.563375 0.736261 0.932957 1.170291 1.445908 1.753061 2.118359
2025-04-27 0.334979 0.546694 0.821581 1.190644 1.659505 2.222466 2.936467
2025-05-04 0.182947 0.388250 0.696292 1.155502 1.787854 2.595979 3.674294
2025-05-11 0.093378 0.272774 0.588772 1.111197 1.885347 2.928905 4.380260
2025-05-18 0.049556 0.206499 0.530903 1.118988 2.044885 3.346331 5.213850
2025-05-25 0.021512 0.146266 0.458805 1.084098 2.129961 3.659851 5.919473
2025-06-01 0.011434 0.122864 0.448415 1.147592 2.365908 4.195008 6.946580
2025-06-08 0.004230 0.093323 0.410851 1.151854 2.503162 4.589539 7.789475
2025-06-15 0.001991 0.083388 0.417321 1.239753 2.782464 5.204973 8.963369
2025-06-22 0.000600 0.070125 0.408200 1.292909 3.004006 5.739630 10.035247
2025-06-29 0.000063 0.055811 0.387834 1.317242 3.174401 6.199687 11.009388
2025-07-06 NaN 0.039214 0.347443 1.287868 3.243370 6.500688 11.755082
2025-07-13 NaN 0.029400 0.326197 1.301047 3.395118 6.945775 12.739076
2025-07-20 NaN 0.021719 0.306909 1.314888 3.548272 7.398458 13.746874
2025-07-27 NaN 0.013187 0.269767 1.273173 3.588965 7.667191 14.481846
2025-08-03 NaN 0.007154 0.233704 1.223737 3.607561 7.897044 15.160496
2025-08-10 NaN 0.004526 0.218423 1.230974 3.741056 8.323581 16.151865
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002070 0.191343 1.193167 3.775258 8.579397 16.880246
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001649 0.195608 1.260623 4.039829 9.241507 18.261102
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000814 0.182647 1.265011 4.165762 9.663805 19.268711
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000761 0.193727 1.358572 4.494591 10.451229 20.870349
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000518 0.194809 1.415092 4.742467 11.100207 22.259765
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000248 0.188167 1.440946 4.921855 11.631037 23.467458